💪 NFL Knowledge Is Power
The Betting Predators e-book takes an in-depth look at all 32 teams.
📣 Big announcement: Our NFL Premium Package is now available for 2023. Get $50 OFF with code "NEWSLETTER50"
📚 Read All About It
This is a special week. So it's a special newsletter. The Betting Predators 2023 NFL Betting Preview "E-Book" is live now. And it's free. Get your 2023 NFL Betting Preview E-Book today for an in-depth look at all 32 teams.
🔑 Keys to success: The Betting Predators team spent the offseason researching, reading articles, listening to podcasts, and ignoring familial responsibilities to find and filter the best and most important NFL information and best bets you need for this season.
💰 Play to win: The Betting Predators team is at +33.64 units (a 56 percent win rate) since launching our NFL premium package in 2021. This means that a $100 bettor would be up more than $3,300 over the past two seasons with Betting Predators.
✅ All-access: All Betting Predators NFL premium package pick results can be found on the Betting Predators website, 24/7/365. They also are here.
🏆 The Betting Predators focus is always on long-term profitability, sports betting education, and transparency through tracking results.
🧠 The e-book looks at the current state of each NFL team to identify reasons for optimism, causes for concern, and what can be exploited in the current betting marketplace. Betting Predators is releasing team betting preview chapters from now on the website. We will spotlight three teams in this newsletter to give you another sampling.
💪 QUICK HITS
🔥 The Colts can turn things around quickly.
✅ The Panthers have a blueprint for success.
🍿 The Falcons could make a run at the wild card.
😀 Wisconsin is ready to rebound in the Big Ten.
🎯 Colts Look Respectable
The Colts will be fun to watch with Anthony Richardson at quarterback. They also will be better than you think.
🏈 Back in business: The Colts coaching situation was so bad it made Nathaniel Hackett look serviceable. Adding Eagles offensive coordinator Shane Steichen at head coach, offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter, and defensive coordinator Gus Bradley should right the ship.
🔥 Robo QB: The Colts will find success sooner than later. Anthony Richardson’s ability to maneuver in the pocket, escape pressure, and pick up first downs with his feet will be valuable (see Justin Fields 2022). The future is bright.
Bijan Robinson +275
Bryce Young +500
Anthony Richardson +600
⏳ Go time: The Colts face the fourth-easiest schedule and should find a path back to respectability in 2023.
💰 Best Bet: IND Over 6.5 Wins (-114) (Play to -130)
*Use code "NEWSLETTER50" for $50 OFF any Betting Predators premium package order.
💰 Colts Betting Insights
The Colts had a 6-11 record against the spread in 2022.
Last season, seven Colts games went over the point total.
The Colts ranked 27th in the NFL in total offense with 311.6 yards per game in 2022 and 15th in total defense with 334.0 yards allowed per contest.
The Colts scored 289 points (17.0 per game) last season (30th of 32) and allowed 427 points (25.1, 28th of 32).
The Colts went 2-6 at home and 2-6-1 on the road.
When underdogs, the Colts had one victory (1-6) versus a 5-5 record when favored.
The Colts were 4-7-1 vs. the AFC, including 1-4-1 in the AFC South.
The Colts have a 3-15 record as underdogs at home since 2016.
RELATED NFL STORIES ON STADIUM TALK
🏀 Quote du Jour: Giannis Wants a Ring
"Next summer it would make more sense for both parties. Even then, I don't know. I would not be the best version of myself if I don't know that everybody's on the same page, everybody's going for a championship, everybody's going to sacrifice time away from their family like I do. And if I don't feel that, I'm not signing."
—Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo, in The New York Times, on not planning to sign a contract extension until he's comfortable knowing the organization will continue to compete for a championship. Antetokounmpo will enter the third season of a five-year, $228 million supermax extension in 2023-24. His contract includes a player option after the 2024-25 season. The Bucks can offer Antetokounmpo a three-year, $173 million extension beginning Sept. 22.
👀 Carolina Heating Up
🎉 A new chapter: The Panthers finished last season with seven wins and now employ a better quarterback and coach than they had last year.
👉 Easy does it: They face a top-five easiest schedule in the league and a top-five easiest schedule of opposing pass defenses, which should make life easier for rookie quarterback Bryce Young. Although rookie quarterbacks tend to struggle early on, the bar is set very low for Young.
🏟️ Ready to roll: Carolina’s top-10 run game should pick up where it left off, with Miles Sanders replacing D’Onta Foreman. All of last year’s starting offensive line is projected to start again this year, and there are no significant downgrades to a defensive unit that was league-average last year.
💰 Best bet: Week 1: ATL/CAR U43 (play to 42)
Carolina Panthers Regular Season-Wins
Over 7.5 wins -105
Under 7.5 wins -115
More on the Panthers in the Betting Predators e-book.
*Use code "NEWSLETTER50" for $50 OFF any Betting Predators premium package order.
🎧 Listen Up
⛳️ Tour of duty: Betting Predators podcast host SleepyJ and Uncle Dave Essler talk Tour Championship and give their picks.
🙌 NFL Fantasy Roundup
✅ Top players: Chris Dell's Top 200. The fantasy guru updates his season-long rankings and draft tiers daily.
🚦Signal callers: Sleepy J and Chris Dell talk NFL fantasy quarterbacks. | WATCH
🛩️ Rarefied air: Sleepy J and Chris Dell talk NFL fantasy wide receivers. | WATCH
🏎️ Rush hour: Sleepy J and Chris Dell talk NFL fantasy running backs. | WATCH
☝️ Great points: Sleepy J and Chris Dell talk NFL fantasy tight ends, kickers and defense. | WATCH
📈 Number of the Day: 124
That’s how many home runs Shohei Ohtani has hit since the start of the 2021 season, an average of 41 per year, with a .962 OPS and 160 OPS+ (entering play Aug. 25). Ohtani has a partially torn UCL in his right elbow and will not pitch again this season and may require a second Tommy John surgery (after his first in 2018), which could affect his pitching future and free-agent value this offseason.
💵 Dirty Bird Action
The Atlanta Falcons showed tremendous improvement last year, finishing with seven wins. Perhaps even more importantly, Atlanta found an offensive identity.
🙌 Offensive weapons: In a ‘zig while everyone else zags’ approach, the Falcons did most of their damage on the ground behind PFF’s top-rated offensive line. Quarterback Desmond Ridder enters the season as Atlanta’s de facto starter, alongside newly drafted running back Bijan Robinson, whom many draftniks had as a top three player in this year’s class.
⛰️ Vision quest: A defense that was one of the worst in the league has been aided by free-agent signings of established NFL starters Calais Campbell, Bud Dupree, and Jessie Bates. The Falcons’ front office and coaching staff have a clear vision, and the positive vibes in Atlanta are palpable. Add in the second-easiest schedule in the NFL, and the Falcons could make a run for a wild card.
💰 Best bet: Week 10: ATL -2.5 (play to -3)
Atlanta Falcons Regular Season-Wins
Over 8.5 wins -120
Under 8.5 wins +100
More on the Falcons in the Betting Predators e-book.
🏆 Bonus: How to bet the Arizona Cardinals
*Use code "NEWSLETTER50" for $50 OFF any Betting Predators premium package order.
🧠 Sports Betting Tip
Pay attention to the weather even more in the NFL preseason.
When there is inclement weather, teams overreact in these exhibition contests. After all, it is a meaningless game, right? This is a tremendous opportunity for unders to cash easily. The game no longer becomes about winning. It's now all about escaping unscathed and healthy.—Steve Reider, NFL, Betting Predators
🦡 Big Expectations in Wisconsin
CLE Picks likes Wisconsin’s chances to rebound from a disappointing 7-6 season that ended with a win in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl over Oklahoma State. After letting go of eight-year head coach Paul Chryst midseason, the Badgers brought in successful Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell, who accumulated a 57-18 record in his six years with the Bearcats, including a trip to the College Football Playoff in 2021. Look for Fickell to contend for the Big Ten West title and win a lot in Camp Randall.
💰 The Plays: Wisconsin o8.5 Wins (-130), To Win the Big Ten West (+120)
Wisconsin +130
Iowa +240
Illinois +550
Minnesota +600
Nebraska +1400
Purdue +2200
Northwestern +10000
👉 Spread the word: Forward this newsletter to a friend. Invite them to subscribe. They’ll be happy.
This newsletter was written by Eric Ortiz. Have any questions or issues? Email us at bettingpredators@gmail.com.