🏆 Jet Mind Tricks
The Jets could be good. For real.
Happy Friday. It's Eric.
🍦 🥧 Soul food: Aug. 18 is National Ice Cream Pie Day. A reminder to take something good and make it even better.
🎶 Sounds like: "Rise" by Herb Alpert.
This newsletter is 1,259 words — a 5-minute read.
💪 QUICK HITS
✅ The Jets might not stink.
💰 Fantasy football season is here.
🎯 It won't be easy for Georgia to three-peat.
🏈 Jets Making Moves
The Jets have not won a Super Bowl since 1969 and have had one winning season since 2011. That was then, and they are ready to forget all that.
🧪 Win-now roster: The Jets have more than quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Now they have running back Dalvin Cook, a four-time Pro Bowler with the Vikings, to go with Breece Hall, Michael Carter and Zonovan Knight. They also have wide receiver Garrett Wilson and the makings of an explosive offense. They will go as far as Rodgers can lead them.
Patrick Mahomes +650
Joe Burrow +750
Josh Allen +850
Jalen Hurts +1100
Justin Herbert +1200
Trevor Lawrence +1500
Lamar Jackson +1500
Aaron Rodgers +1600
🚧 Trench work: Many people are questioning the Jets' offensive line. But those concerns might be overblown. The Jets have capable o-linemen. They just have to get healthy and build continuity. Or New York might have to add another Packer.
🚦Ready, set, go: Head coach Robert Saleh wants his team to prove it. "We proved last year that we're a 7-10 football team with a really f---ing good defense and a mediocre offense. That's what we proved. Flip that f---ing s---!"
🚨True test: The Jets have the 7th-toughest schedule in the NFL. They face the Bills, Cowboys, Chiefs and Eagles in four of their first six games. By mid-October, we'll know if Gang Green is legit.
New York Jets Regular-Season Wins 2023-24
Over 9.5 Wins -115
Under 9.5 Wins -105
🙏 Hard Knocks omen: The Jets are the 19th team to appear on "Hard Knocks" before an NFL season. Seven of the previous 18 made the playoffs. The 2010 Jets were one of them, when they went 11-5 after starring in "Hard Knocks" and lost in the conference championship with Mark Sanchez at quarterback. That also is the last time the Jets made the playoffs.
🏠 Mr. Rodgers' neighborhood: Aaron Rodgers is not making any guarantees like Joe Namath or talking about the $9.5 million house he bought in New Jersey. He's focused on getting the Jets ready to win. But he turns 40 on Dec. 2. It will either be "No Play for Mr. Gray" or the 40-Year-Old Surgeon.
Kansas City Chiefs +600
Philadelphia Eagles +650
Buffalo Bills +900
San Francisco 49ers +1000
Cincinnati Bengals +1100
Dallas Cowboys +1400
New York Jets +1600
💰 Jets Betting Insights
The Jets had an 8-9 record against the spread in 2022.
Last season, five Jets games went over the point total.
The Jets ranked 25th in the NFL in total offense with 318.2 yards per game in 2022 and 4th in total defense with 311.1 yards allowed per contest.
The Jets scored 296 points (17.4 per game) last season (29th of 32) and allowed 316 points (18.6, 4th of 32).
The Jets went 3-5 at home and 4-5 on the road.
When underdogs, the Jets had five victories (5-7) versus a 2-3 record when favored.
The Jets were 5-7 vs. the AFC, including 2-4 in the AFC East.
The Jets have a 15-30 record as underdogs at home since 2016.
RELATED NFL STORIES ON STADIUM TALK
⚾️ Quote du Jour: Slide of the Yankees
"We need to take some personal pride. It's been a slog. It's been a grind. It's not been how we drew it up."
—New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone after a recent loss to the Braves. Entering play Aug. 18, the Yankees have lost five straight and are 60-61, the latest the Yankees have been under .500 since 1995. Since July 4, when they were 10 games over .500, the Yankees are 12-23 and have been outscored by 51 runs.
🔥 Let the Games Begin
Christmas has come early for fantasy football diehards and dedicated managers across the globe. Drafts are approaching, and whether you're playing with friends and family or in a competitive office or high-stakes league, the Betting Predators are here to make sure you're equipped for every scenario. Chris Dell released his season-long rankings and draft tiers. And he'll update them daily, based on injuries and depth chart changes.
Tier 1
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings, wide receiver
Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers, running back
Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals, wide receiver
Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers, running back
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins, wide receiver
QB or not QB: Sleepy J and Chris Dell share the top quarterbacks you need to buy and sell for your drafts.
🏈 🏆 💪 More good news: The Betting Predators 2023 NFL Premium Package* is live. Led by Chris Dell, Sleepy J, and Steve Rieder, our premium record was +19 units in 2022 and +14 units in 2021 (+33 units total), with a 56 percent hit rate on all NFL best bets, sides, totals and teasers (see the picks tracker). We also offer bonus content and bonus bets on player props, preseason, futures, DFS strategy, fantasy football advice, 24/7 direct access to our professional handicappers, and more.
*Use code "NEWSLETTER50" for $50 OFF any premium package order.
🎧 Listen Up
⛳️ Power play: Betting Predators podcast host SleepyJ and Uncle Dave Essler talk PGA BMW Championship and give their picks.
📈 Number of the Day: 80-1
Super Bowl odds for the Las Vegas Raiders, who are projected to win 6.65 games. The Betting Predators staff looks at the Raiders in their e-book 2023 season preview.
🆓 Access: Join the Betting Predators community on Discord for free.
🧠 Sports Betting Tip
Back the teams that blitz.
Preseason NFL offenses are usually rudimentary and do not game plan for their opponents. Defenses typically play very conservatively as well. Every once in a while, however, a defensive coordinator will blitz the opposing quarterbacks in an exhibition contest. More often than not, the opponent's offensive line isn’t up for the task.—Steve Reider, NFL, Betting Predators
Georgia Needs a New Identity
Georgia starts the college football season ranked No. 1. It won't be easy for the Bulldogs to win a third straight national championship, but don't bet against Kirby Smart's squad. They have a new quarterback (junior Carson Beck) and are working to find the right players to replace all the dogs that went to the NFL. If everything clicks, Georgia will be the first FBS program to win three straight national titles in the modern era. Minnesota was the last team to three-peat in 1934, 1935 and 1936.
National Championship Game Winner 2023-24
Georgia +220
Alabama +600
Ohio State +700
Michigan +800
LSU +1100
USC +1500
🏟️ SEC you soon: Get ready for the CFB season by reliving the 2011 Alabama vs. LSU matchup, aka the "Game of the Century."
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Have any questions or issues? Email us at bettingpredators@gmail.com.
That tough jets schedule is where I question their ability to hit above 9.5, I think it'll be close which makes sense given those odds on the over/under